Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at GS Store shamps
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +2.4 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1291
· median 1291
· range 1158–1423
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1157
Q3 1447
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Umbra Tristan | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
